BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Elgin Valley

Class: 1A Class Rank: 26 Conference: (12-2) Overall: (18-6) Overall Strength =   68.13

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/02/2002 Away    W    50.92  71   37   1A  150 ( 1-21) Clarksville           -16.49 *   50.49                      
  2 12/05/2002 Home    W *  78.67  71   43   2A  104 ( 8-14) Elkader Central        11.25     16.75                      
  3 12/06/2002 Away    L    64.31  42   43   2A   59 (17- 8) Alburnett              -3.11      2.11                      
  4 12/09/2002 Away    W *  87.09  59   48   2A   24 (18- 4) South Winneshiek       19.67     -8.67                      
  5 12/10/2002 Away    W    74.55  72   55   2A   95 ( 7-14) Clayton Ridge           7.14      9.86                      
  6 12/13/2002 Away    L *  68.17  52   54   1A   29 (17- 5) Postville               0.76     -2.76                      
  7 12/20/2002 Away    W *  70.40  77   70   2A   72 (10-13) Monona MFL MarMac       2.99      4.01                      
  8 01/07/2003 Home    L    52.31  43   45   2A   95 ( 7-14) Clayton Ridge         -15.11     13.11                      
  9 01/10/2003 Away    W *  64.24  64   48   1A  108 ( 4-18) Lansing Kee            -3.17     19.17                      
 10 01/14/2003 Away    W *  70.63  56   55   2A   52 (12- 8) Turkey Valley           3.22     -2.22                      
 11 01/17/2003 Home    W *  91.37  81   62   1A   17 (19- 4) Sumner                 23.95     -4.95                      
 12 01/20/2003 Away    W    67.25  59   55   2A   75 (12- 9) North Linn             -0.16      4.16                      
 13 01/24/2003 Home    W *  69.67  83   65   2A  103 ( 3-18) North Fayette           2.26     15.74                      
 14 01/25/2003 Away    L    55.80  47   60   3A   43 ( 7-15) Cresco Crestwood      -11.61     -1.39                      
 15 01/31/2003 Away    W *  97.91  82   38   2A  104 ( 8-14) Elkader Central        30.50     13.50                      
 16 02/04/2003 Unknown L *  25.71   0   52   2A   24 (18- 4) South Winneshiek      -41.70    -10.30                      
 17 02/07/2003 Home    W *  67.93  63   62   1A   29 (17- 5) Postville               0.52      0.48                      
 18 02/10/2003 Unknown W *  54.55  66   53   1A  118 ( 1-20) Maynard West Central  -12.86     25.86                      
 19 02/14/2003 Home    W *  74.16  73   59   2A   72 (10-13) Monona MFL MarMac       6.75      7.25                      
 20 02/18/2003 Home    W    66.29  65   51   1A   83 ( 8-15) East Buchanan          -1.12     15.12                      
 21 02/21/2003 Away    W    63.50  77   74   2A   82 ( 9-13) Arlington Starmont     -3.91      6.91                      
 22 02/26/2003 Neutral W *  69.62  55   32   1A  108 ( 4-18) Lansing Kee             2.21     20.79                      
 23 03/03/2003 Neutral W    65.29  63   60   1A   48 (11-12) Riceville              -2.12      5.12                      
 24 03/06/2003 Neutral L    67.54  37   38   1A   15 (22- 4) Fredericksburg          0.13     -1.13                      
      Averages              67.41  60.8 52.5

Best game:   97.91 = 44 point win over Elkader Central
Worst game:  25.71 = 52 point loss to Calmar South Winneshiek
Team stdev:  14.33